The Obligatory End of Year Blog Post

Virtually all media elements engage in the age-old ritual of summarizing the year that was, and looking ahead to the year that will be. Though the number of blogs dedicated to open source, or even those that mention open source on a frequent basis, is extremely small in the blogging universe, my open source compatriots are doing the same ... look at Matt Asay's The Open Road, Zack Urlocker's Open Sources, and Dana Blankenhorn's Linux and Open Source, to name a few. Each of these writers have provided valuable insight into the important open source events of 2008 and areas of focus for 2009 and I encourage you to read their posts.

I do not presume to add much to what these writers have already provided, but I would like to make a few observations. First, I see 2008 as a great success for the open source movement both on an industry-wide basis, and from my personal perspective. The industry as a whole has gained acceptance to the point that it is viewed as an important consideration in the business strategy of all software companies. On a personal level, not only was I privileged to be part of MySQL at the time of Sun's acquisition, but I also started this blog and made more than twenty postings.

Second, I believe 2009 has a strong chance of being the year that open source achieves critical mass not only of mind share, but of economic sustainability. While it's true that several open source companies are making in the tens of millions of dollars in revenues, the economic pressures that hit hardest at the end of 2008 could result in significant gains in revenue opportunities for these companies in the coming year. The economic pressures might be so severe that all IT spending is burdened throughout 2009, but the important point is that in the near future, the cost-conscious thinking arising in these times will likely lead to a radical change in the view of what constitutes value. No doubt, the open source industry will benefit.

The only prediction that can be made with any certainty is that few predictions become reality. In any case, I wish everyone all the best in 2009!